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Red76
76232.7
611.9
Blue7
18620.8
10657.4
58%Model gave it42%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions42310206080100120140160767

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
762
Unranked
32.70.9
31.132.0
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 11.9
186
Unranked
20.81.0
21.720.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
6
Unranked
11.91.0
11.011.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 4.5
1065
Unranked
7.40.9
8.98.0
Auto
Teleop
End