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Red62
76232.7
14741.3
Blue8
7918.3
23339.1
59%Model gave it41%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7460050100150200628

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
147
Unranked
41.30.6
41.341.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 2.1
233
Unranked
39.10.6
40.539.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
762
Unranked
32.70.6
32.733.3
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 14.4
79
Unranked
18.30.5
19.418.9
Auto
Teleop
End