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Red69
4594.2
38630.6
Blue117
31219.9
10825.8
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3448020608010012014016069117

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
386
Unranked
30.62.1
30.828.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 4.8
108
Unranked
25.82.1
28.430.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
459
Unranked
4.22.1
3.11.0
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 15.8
312
Unranked
19.92.1
19.721.8
Auto
Teleop
End