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Red56
801-0.5
18620.8
Blue101
10657.4
17638.0
32%Model gave it68%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2448040608010012014056101

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
186
Unranked
20.81.3
19.217.9
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 17.2
176
Unranked
38.00.8
32.633.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
801
Unranked
-0.51.3
4.83.5
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 7.9
1065
Unranked
7.41.3
15.817.1
Auto
Teleop
End