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Red115
5287.0
17638.0
Blue153
84517.5
65412.7
71%Model gave it29%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions50230406080100120140115153

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
176
Unranked
38.02.4
40.037.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 20.4
845
Unranked
17.53.2
14.317.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
528
Unranked
7.03.2
10.27.0
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 5.7
654
Unranked
12.73.5
9.212.7
Auto
Teleop
End