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Red30
68513.0
8626.7
Blue33
7918.3
16815.7
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions423301001502003033

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
86
Unranked
26.70.6
28.327.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 8.3
79
Unranked
18.30.5
18.519.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
685
Unranked
13.00.6
13.613.0
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 2.7
168
Unranked
15.70.6
14.214.8
Auto
Teleop
End