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Red31
18620.8
94513.4
Blue21
31219.9
102925.7
30%Model gave it70%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions32480204060801003121

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
186
Unranked
20.81.4
20.321.7
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 5.0
1029
Unranked
25.71.3
27.025.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
945
Unranked
13.41.3
12.113.4
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 6.6
312
Unranked
19.91.3
20.919.6
Auto
Teleop
End