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Red26
35637.3
100214.8
Blue49
28125.7
107716.7
46%Model gave it54%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions46480204060801002649

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
356
Unranked
37.30.9
27.726.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 11.5
281
Unranked
25.70.9
23.024.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1002
Unranked
14.81.3
18.216.9
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 2.0
1077
Unranked
16.71.3
25.426.7
Auto
Teleop
End