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Red50
118020.2
49436.8
Blue5
80716.1
101612.0
59%Model gave it41%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions43260100150200505

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
494
Unranked
36.81.0
26.627.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 20.7
807
Unranked
16.11.7
15.313.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1180
Unranked
20.21.7
16.818.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 8.2
1016
Unranked
12.01.7
10.78.9
Auto
Teleop
End