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Red46
41515.9
11678.4
Blue85
100214.8
118020.2
46%Model gave it54%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions28300102040506070804685

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
415
Unranked
15.92.0
17.915.9
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 4.3
1180
Unranked
20.22.0
17.619.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1167
Unranked
8.42.0
10.48.4
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 6.4
1002
Unranked
14.82.0
12.914.9
Auto
Teleop
End