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Red24
112711.8
80319.4
Blue2
106925.4
12254.1
44%Model gave it56%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2832020406080242

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
803
Unranked
19.41.4
18.019.4
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 6.0
1069
Unranked
25.41.4
26.825.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1127
Unranked
11.81.4
10.411.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 7.7
1225
Unranked
4.11.4
5.54.1
Auto
Teleop
End