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Red57
22521.9
39115.8
Blue33
37916.7
50315.1
44%Model gave it56%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions253304060801001201401605733

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
225
Unranked
21.91.9
13.615.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 5.2
379
Unranked
16.71.2
16.014.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
391
Unranked
15.81.2
11.212.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.7
503
Unranked
15.12.0
16.914.9
Auto
Teleop
End