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Red39
86114.5
114717.7
Blue85
23627.0
52920.4
36%Model gave it64%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions345202060801001201403985

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1147
Unranked
17.71.0
20.719.7
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 9.2
236
Unranked
27.01.0
30.031.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
861
Unranked
14.51.6
12.911.2
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 5.9
529
Unranked
20.41.3
21.723.0
Auto
Teleop
End