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Red32
30329.6
50315.1
Blue78
10822.8
5721.5
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions434802060801001203278

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
303
Unranked
29.61.5
25.023.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 6.8
108
Unranked
22.81.5
26.728.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
503
Unranked
15.12.2
17.715.5
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 6.4
57
Unranked
21.51.5
21.222.7
Auto
Teleop
End