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Red49
23125.3
52920.4
Blue67
26329.0
31226.6
49%Model gave it51%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions485001001504967

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
231
Unranked
25.30.6
26.025.4
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 3.7
263
Unranked
29.00.6
27.227.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
529
Unranked
20.40.6
22.421.7
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 6.2
312
Unranked
26.60.6
22.623.2
Auto
Teleop
End