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Red49
22521.9
23627.0
Blue8
34126.3
51915.1
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4645102030405060498

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
236
Unranked
27.01.5
27.529.0
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.6
341
Unranked
26.31.5
26.224.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
225
Unranked
21.91.8
18.820.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 6.7
519
Unranked
15.11.5
19.217.7
Auto
Teleop
End