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Red20
86114.5
114717.7
Blue61
21720.3
101124.5
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions324401001502002502061

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1147
Unranked
17.71.1
17.616.5
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 6.8
1011
Unranked
24.51.1
22.323.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
861
Unranked
14.51.3
14.313.0
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 5.7
217
Unranked
20.31.1
22.223.3
Auto
Teleop
End