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Red55
8145.1
17531.0
Blue33
10822.8
16723.2
39%Model gave it61%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions355002060801001201401605533

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
175
Unranked
31.01.4
28.730.1
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 7.8
167
Unranked
23.21.5
21.720.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
814
Unranked
5.11.4
6.27.6
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 17.7
108
Unranked
22.81.4
28.226.8
Auto
Teleop
End