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Red39
31226.6
27918.2
Blue85
89121.9
7432.8
46%Model gave it54%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions505701001502003985

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
312
Unranked
26.61.4
24.623.2
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 6.2
74
Unranked
32.81.4
33.434.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
279
Unranked
18.21.8
25.023.2
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 3.7
891
Unranked
21.91.6
23.725.3
Auto
Teleop
End