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Red14
20131.6
3331.8
Blue56
50316.9
27922.6
70%Model gave it30%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6439020801001201401601456

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
33
Unranked
31.80.8
31.330.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 9.2
279
Unranked
22.61.4
21.222.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
201
Unranked
31.61.4
32.731.3
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 14.8
503
Unranked
16.91.4
17.518.9
Auto
Teleop
End