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Red30
20131.6
3331.8
Blue65
30235.5
6725.2
49%Model gave it51%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6162203040507080901003065

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
33
Unranked
31.80.5
31.731.2
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 3.7
302
Unranked
35.50.5
35.235.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
201
Unranked
31.60.8
31.330.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 6.4
67
Unranked
25.20.8
24.625.4
Auto
Teleop
End