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Red39
118820.6
70317.4
Blue59
121314.6
81827.0
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions37330501001502002503959

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1188
Unranked
20.61.5
20.519.0
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 6.4
818
Unranked
27.01.5
23.925.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
703
Unranked
17.41.5
16.615.1
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 2.8
1213
Unranked
14.61.5
8.910.4
Auto
Teleop
End