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Red36
83011.6
8222.5
Blue38
27922.6
28026.5
26%Model gave it74%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions174704060801001201403638

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
830
Unranked
11.61.4
12.313.7
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 14.9
280
Unranked
26.51.8
22.720.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
822
Unranked
2.51.8
4.96.7
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 20.1
279
Unranked
22.61.8
24.823.1
Auto
Teleop
End