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Red38
4686.7
3266.8
Blue2
51916.5
114020.1
38%Model gave it62%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions193706080100120140160382

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
326
Unranked
6.83.4
11.314.7
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 13.2
1140
Unranked
20.19.8
24.614.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
468
Unranked
6.73.4
7.711.1
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 9.8
519
Unranked
16.52.5
18.916.4
Auto
Teleop
End