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Red61
6528.5
30235.5
Blue58
102320.4
27922.6
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions463801001502002506158

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
302
Unranked
35.50.3
24.724.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 12.9
279
Unranked
22.60.3
19.720.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
65
Unranked
28.50.3
21.220.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 8.1
1023
Unranked
20.44.4
14.118.5
Auto
Teleop
End