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Red49
54526.5
56620.4
Blue58
51432.3
56931.8
33%Model gave it67%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions486302040801001201404958

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
545
Unranked
26.50.1
27.127.2
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 5.8
514
Unranked
32.30.1
31.731.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
566
Unranked
20.40.1
21.021.1
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 11.5
569
Unranked
31.80.1
31.231.1
Auto
Teleop
End