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Red24
54526.5
56620.4
Blue86
51432.3
56931.8
32%Model gave it68%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions486302040801001202486

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
545
Unranked
26.50.7
27.226.5
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 5.8
514
Unranked
32.30.7
31.632.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
566
Unranked
20.40.7
21.120.4
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 11.5
569
Unranked
31.80.7
31.131.8
Auto
Teleop
End