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Red51
56931.8
17331.6
Blue24
4218.2
35323.4
68%Model gave it32%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions64390501001505124

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
569
Unranked
31.80.1
22.122.2
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 8.4
353
Unranked
23.40.1
24.424.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
173
Unranked
31.60.1
41.841.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 13.4
42
Unranked
18.20.1
14.214.2
Auto
Teleop
End