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Red101
57032.7
56620.4
Blue77
4173.3
8841.3
62%Model gave it38%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions361705010015010177

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
570
Unranked
32.70.3
21.221.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 29.4
417
Unranked
3.30.3
11.911.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
566
Unranked
20.40.3
15.315.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 19.1
884
Unranked
1.30.3
5.14.8
Auto
Teleop
End