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Red9
533-7.7
56620.4
Blue40
56411.1
31128.2
46%Model gave it54%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions37430206080100120140160940

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
566
Unranked
20.43.7
20.416.7
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 7.8
311
Unranked
28.21.5
24.726.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
533
Unranked
-7.71.5
18.416.9
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 18.8
564
Unranked
11.11.5
18.620.1
Auto
Teleop
End