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Red118
17331.6
26328.0
Blue18
10193.1
46718.2
67%Model gave it33%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions593105010015011818

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
173
Unranked
31.63.3
39.743.0
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 13.4
467
Unranked
18.23.3
12.79.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
263
Unranked
28.04.5
19.423.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 24.8
1019
Unranked
3.110.6
3.113.7
Auto
Teleop
End