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Red20
27132.1
4218.2
Blue57
56931.8
87021.0
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions474001001502002057

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
271
Unranked
32.12.6
27.224.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.3
569
Unranked
31.82.8
18.821.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
42
Unranked
18.22.1
20.218.2
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 2.8
870
Unranked
21.02.1
20.722.8
Auto
Teleop
End