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Red58
27132.1
56931.8
Blue30
54526.5
46718.2
58%Model gave it42%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions534302060801001201405830

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
271
Unranked
32.10.7
30.831.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 5.7
545
Unranked
26.51.2
26.925.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
569
Unranked
31.81.2
21.823.0
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 13.7
467
Unranked
18.20.7
16.215.5
Auto
Teleop
End