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Red107
32940.3
28724.9
Blue21
35323.4
17331.6
43%Model gave it57%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5562020408010012014010721

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
329
Unranked
40.35.8
35.040.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 8.7
173
Unranked
31.63.5
31.928.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
287
Unranked
24.93.5
19.923.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.5
353
Unranked
23.45.8
29.623.8
Auto
Teleop
End