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Red9
4218.2
57032.7
Blue40
120327.9
50620.5
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions48430100150200250940

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
570
Unranked
32.72.1
30.828.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 4.8
1203
Unranked
27.92.1
24.026.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
42
Unranked
18.21.3
17.416.1
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 2.3
506
Unranked
20.51.3
19.520.8
Auto
Teleop
End