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Red40
24910.7
39829.0
Blue37
50623.2
85822.4
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions364902060801001201401604037

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
398
Unranked
29.01.0
23.624.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 5.8
506
Unranked
23.21.0
24.023.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
249
Unranked
10.71.0
12.113.1
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 11.7
858
Unranked
22.41.0
24.923.9
Auto
Teleop
End