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Red42
27127.2
65134.5
Blue26
22513.6
68630.2
42%Model gave it58%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions334302060801001201404226

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
651
Unranked
34.51.6
12.814.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 4.3
686
Unranked
30.21.6
25.023.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
271
Unranked
27.21.6
20.221.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 13.6
225
Unranked
13.61.6
18.016.3
Auto
Teleop
End