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Red50
30015.0
22513.6
Blue42
652-3.1
9288.6
65%Model gave it35%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions381202060801001201401605042

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
300
Unranked
15.01.1
18.317.2
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 6.4
928
Unranked
8.60.7
9.610.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
225
Unranked
13.61.1
19.418.3
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 16.6
652
Unranked
-3.11.1
2.33.4
Auto
Teleop
End