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Red39
5620.9
10329.4
Blue82
30321.5
89128.9
48%Model gave it52%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions37380102030506070803982

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
103
Unranked
29.42.7
22.119.3
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.5
891
Unranked
28.92.7
24.227.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
56
Unranked
20.92.7
15.512.7
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.7
303
Unranked
21.52.7
12.715.4
Auto
Teleop
End