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Red47
85822.4
33928.3
Blue76
30633.3
31624.8
42%Model gave it58%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions485702040801001201401604776

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
339
Unranked
28.30.8
26.826.0
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 5.0
306
Unranked
33.31.2
30.832.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
858
Unranked
22.41.2
20.819.6
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 2.4
316
Unranked
24.81.2
26.527.7
Auto
Teleop
End