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Red6
1111-0.5
65134.5
Blue58
5315.3
24910.7
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3624050100150200250300658

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
651
Unranked
34.54.0
27.623.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 19.1
53
Unranked
15.34.0
17.221.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1111
Unranked
-0.54.0
8.94.9
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 11.2
249
Unranked
10.74.0
7.011.0
Auto
Teleop
End