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Red40
1349.6
81015.7
Blue4
1111-0.5
487-2.7
41%Model gave it59%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions233806080100120140160404

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
810
Unranked
15.73.2
17.320.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 16.2
1111
Unranked
-0.515.5
-0.515.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
134
Unranked
9.62.4
5.57.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 12.3
487
Unranked
-2.73.2
20.216.9
Auto
Teleop
End