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Red58
31624.8
68630.2
Blue10
11613.1
27127.2
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions38300501001502005810

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
686
Unranked
30.22.5
17.419.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 3.0
271
Unranked
27.22.5
24.121.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
316
Unranked
24.82.5
20.723.2
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 11.7
116
Unranked
13.12.3
6.03.6
Auto
Teleop
End