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Red81
7142.0
28033.8
Blue15
39111.2
12273.7
76%Model gave it24%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions603102040801001201408115

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
71
Unranked
42.01.8
33.735.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 30.7
391
Unranked
11.21.8
13.912.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
280
Unranked
33.82.1
26.428.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 30.2
1227
Unranked
3.72.3
16.814.5
Auto
Teleop
End