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Red40
4409.3
53513.2
Blue5
3529.3
40614.2
47%Model gave it53%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2631050100150405

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
535
Unranked
13.22.0
12.414.4
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 16.1
35
Unranked
29.31.7
21.820.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
440
Unranked
9.32.3
14.016.4
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 5.0
406
Unranked
14.22.3
9.67.3
Auto
Teleop
End