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Red7
90236.6
32613.5
Blue20
18835.3
8517.0
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions39540100150720

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
902
Unranked
36.60.1
29.829.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.3
188
Unranked
35.30.1
34.734.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
326
Unranked
13.50.1
9.09.1
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 3.4
85
Unranked
17.00.1
18.818.7
Auto
Teleop
End