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Red115
6725.8
85826.2
Blue110
91021.7
30816.9
77%Model gave it23%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions63320204080100120140115110

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
858
Unranked
26.21.1
34.633.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 4.6
910
Unranked
21.71.2
20.021.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
67
Unranked
25.81.2
28.627.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 8.9
308
Unranked
16.91.2
12.013.2
Auto
Teleop
End