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Red30
18415.9
4409.3
Blue47
1071.9
23519.7
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions313010152025354045503047

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
184
Unranked
15.90.8
16.515.7
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 3.8
235
Unranked
19.70.7
23.524.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
440
Unranked
9.30.8
14.513.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 7.3
107
Unranked
1.90.7
6.67.3
Auto
Teleop
End