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Red51
44227.9
93819.6
Blue55
11019.4
93130.3
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions433602060801001201405155

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
442
Unranked
27.90.7
28.127.5
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 2.5
931
Unranked
30.30.7
24.224.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
938
Unranked
19.60.7
14.714.0
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 10.3
1101
Unranked
9.40.7
11.712.4
Auto
Teleop
End