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Red60
102413.0
52539.1
Blue14
9415.4
118215.6
75%Model gave it25%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions65250501001502006014

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
525
Unranked
39.10.4
38.038.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 23.5
1182
Unranked
15.60.4
17.617.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1024
Unranked
13.00.4
27.227.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 7.6
941
Unranked
5.40.4
7.67.2
Auto
Teleop
End